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As long as they keep throwing the ball well, the Twins can win this game. Kyle Schwarber has 19 home runs, 55 RBIs and a team-high 114 strikeouts as well this season. Despite the Twins being underdogs with a moneyline of +130 and an implied win probability of 42%, THE BAT X, the leading MLB projection system, gives them a 47% chance to win. This suggests there might be value in betting on the Twins, especially considering public reluctance to back underdogs. The game total is set at 8.0 runs, indicating an average scoring affair.
Twins vs Phillies Probable Starting Pitchers
- Despite being ten games above .500, the Twins are just a game away from being knocked out of the AL Wild Card.
- It’s been a plus pitch for him in the past, but his heater has a negative run value this year, allowing a .307 average and .410 wOBA.
- The Twins rank third in the league in wRC+ and wOBA against southpaws.
- This prediction is based on the model giving the Phillies a 57% chance of winning the game.
Ranger Suarez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 10-4 with a 2.76 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. Suarez has a 2.67 ERA and .205 allowed batting average in 57.1 road innings. This will be Suarez’s second career game against the Minnesota Twins.
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His performance shows that he is a candid and weak pitcher especially in terms of the number of hits and walks he gave per innings as compared to Nola. To make the Twins competitive, Okert will need to up his performance against the strong Phillies’ hitting corps. Implied Win % in sports betting represent the probability of an outcome as suggested by the betting odds. It’s a way for bettors to gauge the likelihood of an event occurring based on the odds offered by sportsbooks.
- The Philadelphia Phillies are this year and they have lost four of their last five games.
- Explore the interactive widget below to see the current run line, total, and moneyline betting odds and probabilities for the Phillies-Twins game at Target Field.
- When it comes to his home runs, Byron Buxton has had bad variance on his side this year.
- I like the Twins to bounce back with an outright win over the Phillies at home on Wednesday afternoon.
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- Their ability to perform well mid-week (7-2 SU on Wednesdays) may offer a slight edge.
- The Phillies, riding high with a record, are having a great season and lead their division.
- The total set at 8 with the OVER at -120 suggests expectations of a relatively high-scoring game, likely influenced by both teams’ slugging capabilities and recent trends.
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Philadelphia continues to struggle over the last couple of weeks, but they do remain 8.5 games ahead of Atlanta in the NL East standings. Minnesota has been a very streaky team so far this season and they are in a battle with Cleveland and Kansas City in the AL Central. The Twins will start Woods Richardson, who has been very solid for them this year. The Phillies are going with Wheeler, who has been lights out in his last four outings.
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Decimal odds are the most common format used by European sportsbooks. As the name implies, they are decimal numbers and always positive. Decimal odds of 1.59 tell you that the total payout you will receive from a successful bet is 1.59 times the amount of your original wager.
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If Woods Richardson can get the Phillies to expand their zone, they will just get themselves out. Our independent predictive model gives the Phillies a 56% chance of defeating the Twins. “By incorporating recent updates and various factors, our prediction shows the Phillies with a win probability of 56%, compared to 44% for the Twins.” Based on updated simulations, Dimers’ advanced MLB model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Phillies as the most likely winner of today’s game.
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You just need to estimate if the number of runs that are scored in a baseball game will be over an amount set by a sportsbook. Sports betting operators release a total run line on each game. Philadelphia has scored 6 or more runs in 3 of its last 5 games while allowing 8 or more in 2 of its last 4. Minnesota has scored 4 or more runs in 3 of its last 4 games and allowed 7 or more in 3 of its last 5. While both pitchers have demonstrated good control this season, both teams’ bats have been hot, which will aid the Over. The Phillies have dispatched 311 relievers to the mound for the year.
Philadelphia Phillies vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/24/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
They rank 8th in the league holding a save rate of 68.2%, and they have dispatched 318 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Their relievers have come in 121 times in high leverage situations in addition to 78 occasions with runners on. Minnesota bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 46.5% out of 114 inherited runners. With 106 save situations, the Twins have accrued 61 holds and also 14 blown saves. The odds and lines featured in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Their fielding percentage is currently at .984 which has them sitting 20th in MLB, and have a total of 74 double plays. The Phillies have transformed 69.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 8,058 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 13th in pro baseball. The Minnesota Twins (55-44) will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (63-37) at Target Field on Wednesday. Calling Our Shot produces daily MLB betting content, including the predictions featured below. Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Minnesota Twins prediction, MLB odds, best bets for 7/23/2024
The Philadelphia Phillies are on the road to take on the Minnesota Twins Tuesday night. Below we will continue our MLB odds series with a Phillies-Twins prediction and pick. Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets and props. He has contributed insightful articles at Dimers since 2020 as Head of Social and Community.
It is even harder to bet against Zack Wheeler with how he is pitching, as well. I am going to trust my gut, and bet on the better pitcher here. Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best MLB bets for every game throughout the season.
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That should benefit Nola and the Philly pitching staff, so I’ll trust the league’s best team to grab a road win on Wednesday. It is hard to bet against Aaron Nola as he is one of the better pitchers in the MLB. Nola should go deep into this game, and compete enough for the Phillies to come away with the win. He is having a great season while being the workhorse, as well.
Ryan Jeffers is batting .238 with 14 home runs and 47 RBI’s for the Twins this season. Minnesota has scored three runs or fewer in four of their last eight games. They are seventh in batting average, third in slugging percentage, seventh in home runs, and they are top-10 in runs scored.
The Philadelphia Phillies will look to win the rubber match of the series after evening the set up at one win apiece thanks to a 3-0 win in Tuesday’s matchup. The win gave the Phils a chance to snap a run of back-to-back series losses after falling short against the Pirates and A’s over the last week and a half. The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Aaron Nola for the start here and Nola is 11-4 with a 3.54 ERA and 120 strikeouts this season. The Minnesota Twins did not have a starter announced at the time that this article was posted. The Philadelphia Phillies and the Minnesota Twins meet Wednesday in MLB action from Target Field.
Minnesota Twins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction
- Ober has allowed 11 hits and 4 earned runs in his last 12 innings.
- Prior to this series, the Phillies lost two out of three against the Pirates, lost two out of three against the Athletics, and swept the Dodgers in three games.
- Take a look at everything you need to know from a betting perspective on the Phillies-Twins game, regarding the run line, moneyline and total, plus expert picks.
- Minnesota has scored three runs or fewer in four of their last eight games.
- The Los Angeles Dodgers came back from a 5-0 deficit to defeat the New York Yankees in Game 5 to celebrate their 2nd World Series title in t…
- The Twins have lost 4 of their last 5 games and are at risk of losing their loose grip on a Wild Card spot.
- Sports betting operators release a total run line on each game.
He is a member of the Metropolitan Golf Writers Association and his beloved Falcons and Maple Leafs break his heart on a yearly basis. This betting advice is formulated through world-class simulations and valuable betting intelligence, designed to assist you in making more informed decisions. ClutchPoints is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any way connected to any sportsbook. We predict the Phillies, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Twins on Tuesday. Unlimited access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
The Phillies are set up for a good day and Nola will have his hands full taming the Minnesota bats. As noted above, they hit right-handed pitching well, and they rank 7th in runs per game at home (4.86). There should be just enough offense to push this total OVER 8 (-105). The Phillies own the best record in all of baseball as well as the best run differential (+110).
Philadelphia has allowed at least five runs in five of their last seven games. The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average. The Twins offense has scored 484 runs with a .254 batting average and a .324 on base percentage.
- Both betting on underdogs and favorites will return your initial stake on top of your payout with a successful bet.
- According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 60% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8 runs has a 52% chance of staying under.
- As long as they keep throwing the ball well, the Twins can win this game.
- Aaron Nola has become almost a sure bet for the Phillies in this year’s with a commendable 3.54 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and having pitched 124.2 innings.
- The Phillies do have a good offense, but they do have the 11th-highest chase percentage.
- The Phillies will pitch Zack Wheeler in the second game of the series.
- The Minnesota pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .235 opponent batting average.
Woods Richardson has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 10-4 with a 2.70 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 116.2 innings pitched this year. Wheeler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four straight starts. On the mound for the Twins will be left-hander Steven Okert, making his first start of the season after 34 bullpen appearances. Okert has been somewhat unlucky this year, with a 4.40 ERA but a more promising 3.48 xERA, suggesting he might perform better than his surface stats indicate. However, his projections for today are less than encouraging, with just 1.0 innings pitched, 0.6 earned runs, and 1.1 strikeouts on average.
His fastball has been a plus pitch for him in the past, but this year his fastball is a minus pitch, producing a .307 average and a .410 EPS. He has used his fastball 38.9% this season, down nearly 10% from previous years. This decline makes sense because all of his secondary pitchers were in the black.
Only one of his past five starts has seen more than four opposing batters hit safely. That’s far more sustainable, and it’s why the Twins might add to the Phillies’ misery. Our prediction for Philadelphia vs. Minnesota is for the Twins to win. The Philadelphia pitching phillies twins prediction staff has a 3.48 ERA, a 1.17 WHIP, and a .231 opponent batting average. The Phillies offense has scored 493 runs with a .258 batting average and a .329 on base percentage. Alec Bohm is batting .296 with 11 home runs and 71 RBI’s for the Phillies this season.
But before you place your first MLB bet at an online sportsbook, let’s review what the pros already know. Premium game analysis suggests that while the Twins could exploit any slip-up by Nola, the Phillies’ overall consistency and batting strength will likely prevail. The Twins’ recent performance has been shaky, and their betting trends reflect this instability. Although they are 2-5 SU against National League opponents, they maintain a solid 7-3 SU record against NL East teams.
Minnesota needs to have their best offensive game against a very good pitcher in Wheeler. If they scratch across just a few runs, it would be enough to help the Twins win this game. Minnesota was able to shut down the Phillies in game one of this series, but that is not a big surprise.
That’s especially true given the fact he has to pitch against the hottest offense in baseball tonight. The Twins offense has been the best in baseball over the past two months, leading Major League Baseball in OPS at .813 dating back to June 1. Now, they get to face the Phillies at the perfect time as Philadelphia is dealing with a slump. Woods Richardson constantly gives the Twins a chance to win when he is on the mound. He does a pretty good job getting hitters to chase, making sure they do not make hard contact, and he keeps his walks down. The Phillies do have a good offense, but they do have the 11th-highest chase percentage.
The Minnesota Twins have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. While Ober has only had two scoreless outings this season, he has only blown up just once. He’s good at limiting hard contact while doing everything else at an above-average level. He is a perfectly fine pitcher — solid and above-average with a 4.14 ERA and 3.63 xERA. Ranger Suarez has gone from middle reliever to back-of-the-rotation starter to Cy Young candidate for the Phillies. While the Twins don’t strike out at a high rate, the lineup has less power and a lower wOBA against righties than lefties.
Within the oldest major professional sports league worldwide, Major League Baseball, the inclusion of MLB picks and MLB props has become a captivating aspect. Explore the interactive widget below to see the current run line, total, and moneyline betting odds and probabilities for the Phillies-Twins game at Target Field. MLB features 30 esteemed teams, including the Phillies and Twins, with 29 based in the United States and one in Canada. Sports betting operators release MLB futures odds on a range of markets before the season begins. These odds update often and will be available to bet on throughout the season.